Readjusting the Rhythm of the Middle East

 

The "Israeli" plans continue after what Donald Trump decided during his first term in December 2017, which included the implementation of the decision to move the U.S. embassy from Tel Aviv to Jerusalem, as well as the accompanying recognition of the occupied Syrian Golan as "Israeli" territory. 

Not surprising

These developments are not surprising; rather, they are based on the resolution passed by the Knesset in 1980 to unify both East and West Jerusalem and declare it their eternal capital, a resolution recognized by the U.S. administration and Congress in 1995. Furthermore, in 1990, the U.S. passed legislation to move the embassy, which had been subject to semi-annual delays until Trump took office. 

Oslo Accords

During these latter dates, the U.S. was overseeing the Oslo Accords in September 1993, marketing itself as a peace broker in the region, advocating for a two-state solution that would secure East Jerusalem as the capital of a viable Palestinian state. 

A continuous process

All these events are part of a series that confirms that the rhythm of the Middle East has been orchestrated for decades and that the New Middle East project is not new. The alignment of decisions with their implementation is a matter of priorities for those planning for the region. While the Oslo process nominally progressed, the U.S. expanded the Zionist entity and reinforced changes. If the decision to move the embassy was a step taken three decades ago, Trump merely implemented it; this is not about individuals, but rather a continuous process for decisions that they haven't executed in the rhythm of things. 

For "Israel"

The U.S. aims, through entrenching "Israel" in terms of normalization, geography, and expansion, to crown a scheme that gradually eliminates the Arab League and replaces it with a Middle Eastern states organization, with "Israel" positioned atop it. They intend to promote a multiplicity of languages, creating entities such as a promised state for the Kurds in northeastern Syria and the Hebrew language for "Israel," ultimately diluting the Arab League so that it is led by the occupying state. 

For Security and military strategic interests

This leadership is fundamentally not tied to religious or historical dimensions, but rather to the security and military strategic interests of the U.S., as President Biden famously echoed in his speeches that "Israel" is security and a military base, not a religion or a state, when he said: "If Israel did not exist, we would create it," and "Israel exists to remain." This poses a dangerous indication of a gradual deterioration of security in the region and its states, whether or not some acknowledge this now, or if others engage in normalization to avoid confrontation, while still others remain in opposition to this conundrum. 

 Creative Chaos

The U.S. relies on a policy of "creative chaos," which has been highlighted in the media since 2006, entailing a reshaping of regimes according to its specifications. If the people's opinion prevails, alternative plans through chaos and conflict lead to a military coup that keeps control in its hands, or to the division of states while continuing to manage those in power and the factions directly or indirectly. Today, this scenario is being applied in Yemen, Syria, Libya, and Sudan, whereas they control regimes that align with their interests or through military coups that suppressed and crushed the peoples' revolutions, leaving the Arab homeland without elections or a voice for the people to this day.

Conflict of priorities  

Today, the rhythm that America is trying to set coincided with discussions about multipolarity in the context of the Russian-Ukrainian war that began in February 2022 and continues to attract parties and change interests, reaching October 7, 2023, with the "Al-Aqsa Flood" and the involvement of Lebanon, Yemen, Iraq, and Iran in the confrontation under what is known as the "Unity of the Arenas." The threads have intertwined, scattered, and priorities have changed, with Gaza and its ongoing resistance remaining the key to the situation and its survival.

New equations

This situation imposed new equations that the U.S. is trying to organize to its own tune by neutralizing Iran and Iraqi groups, managing the post-Assad period, engaging the Lebanese parties with each other, and arranging presidential elections. Meanwhile, failure persists in containing Yemen and breaking Gaza, suggesting that setting the rhythm still faces significant obstacles.

Syria

In the case of Syria, the success of applying the new Middle East vision involves the division of the state, legitimizing "Israel's" existence in the Golan Heights and beyond, in a context hinting at Druze federalism, while the Kurds demand federalism in northeastern Syria, directly supported by the U.S. Lebanon, however, is dealt with differently, away from division through military solutions that would clear southern Litani of "Hezbollah" and restrict its movements to weaken its political influence, thus keeping the south under "Israeli" oversight, informed by their 1982 experience of remaining there and establishing the Lebanese general Antoine Lahad's forces that collaborated with them.

The historic dream of "Israel

The most dangerous aspect of setting the rhythm for them is the implementation of a historic dream for "Israel": the annexation of the West Bank and the establishment of the settlers' state "Judea and Samaria." This means the cancellation of Palestinian sovereignty, the destruction of the state project even to the extent of viability, and the displacement of the population into large urban gatherings, compelling many to flee under the force of arms used by settlers and soldiers towards the eastern border to Jordan, which they consider the alternative homeland for Palestinians. On July 18, 2024, the Knesset issued a decision to prevent the establishment of a Palestinian state, coinciding with the U.S. veto in May 2024 against establishing a Palestinian state. Prior to this, the occupation army confiscated areas classified as "B" under the Oslo Accords, meaning that practically, what remains under Palestinian sovereignty is only 6% of the West Bank, which is a direct execution of international law and a blatant disregard for the Arab Peace Initiative issued by the Arab League at the Beirut summit in 2002, which calls for the establishment of a Palestinian state followed by normalization with "Israel."

Today, within the framework of the rhythm that America is trying in vain to impose, it will clash with the steadfastness of the Palestinians, which is a historical fact, alongside sudden changes in the positions of Syria and its internal developments, successfully maintaining its unity and avoiding division, as well as the role that "Hezbollah" will play in the current ceasefire situation extended to the end of January.

Thus, Gaza remains the key to the situation and the key to the failure of establishing this rhythm.

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Read the article in Arabic

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