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Lessons from the First 100 Days
International System's Failures
Crisis in the Occupied West Bank
Gaza War's Impact on Jordanian Streets
A Turbulent Geopolitical Crisis
A recent report by the British Middle East Eye website suggests that Israel's devastating war on Gaza is expected to continue for several months, leading to potentially catastrophic regional consequences. The report features an in-depth discussion among six analysts and researchers, aiming to analyze the turbulent geopolitics of this ongoing conflict and draw lessons from the first 100 days.
One of the analysts, Moin Rabbani, editor of the Jadaliyya website, highlights how the first 100 days of Israel's war on Gaza have shattered Israel's claims to absolute power and knowledge.
For the first time in 75 years, the Israeli army was forced to wage war within its own borders. Israel launched an intense campaign, leveling a large part of the small Gaza Strip and facing accusations of genocide at the International Court of Justice.
This war has also exposed Israel's dependence on the United States for military, political, and diplomatic support, while damaging its image as a stronghold of Western interests in the Middle East.
Despite Hamas not being a major military force, Israeli leaders have referred to this conflict as a determining factor for Israel's existence. The ongoing display of overwhelming force makes it impossible to achieve peace and coexistence in the Middle East as long as Israel continues to resolve political challenges unilaterally.
Silence is Betrayal
Ghassan Al-Kahlot, director of the Center for Conflict and Humanitarian Studies, emphasizes the ongoing humanitarian crisis in the Gaza Strip and the lack of tangible support from Arab countries. The meager support provided by Arab countries and their refusal to sever relations with Israel have raised concerns about the Palestinian cause. Al-Kahlot urges continued popular pressure and emphasizes the importance of not diverting attention from Palestine.
How Did the International System Fail?
Tamer Qarmout, assistant professor of public policy, criticizes the failures of the international system in coming to the rescue of Gaza and the Palestinians. The international law, meant to ensure justice and equity, has fallen victim to global politics, leaving the Palestinians without recourse.
Qarmout acknowledges a slight change in the West's positions due to popular pressure, but emphasizes the need for other actors, such as Turkey, Egypt, the Gulf states, and the Islamic world, to contribute effectively. He also stresses that discussions regarding the governance of Gaza must be undertaken exclusively by the Palestinians to avoid repeating the mistakes of the past.
The Crisis in the Occupied West Bank
Amina Al-Ashqar, a research assistant, sheds light on the ongoing violent conflict in the West Bank, which has not received much attention. The Israeli army has engaged not only with existing organizations like Hamas and the Islamic Jihad movement but also with newly formed local armed groups.
The violence in the West Bank has resulted in numerous casualties and injuries, leading to a shift in Palestinian sentiment and increased support for Hamas and armed struggle as a means to end the conflict.
The war on Gaza has also sparked anger in Jordan, with protests and calls for the opening of the Jordanian front. People are boycotting companies that support Israel, viewing them as complicit in the genocide in Palestine. However, achieving a global solution to the situation in Gaza seems unlikely, as the International Court of Justice has ruled Israel's actions as genocide but has not called for an immediate ceasefire.
The recent decision by several countries to suspend funding to UNRWA further highlights how Israel's allies can dismantle the most effective international tool for achieving peace.