Yevgeny Prigozhin, the leader of the Wagner Group, is believed to have died in a plane crash conspiracy. This comes just two months after he led a failed rebellion against the Russian government. Experts say that Prigozhin's death could have both positive and negative effects.
The Threat to Russia
According to Oleg Ignatov, an expert from the International Crisis Group, Prigozhin was not only a threat to the West but also to Russian President Vladimir Putin. While Putin did not directly blame Prigozhin for the mutiny, he did blame the Wagner Group. Many people around the world are speculating about Putin's involvement in the plane crash, especially since the Russian government has remained silent about it.
Implications for the West
Prigozhin was known for his successful operations against French presence in African countries. If he and the Wagner organization disappear, it would benefit the West, particularly France. However, the West does not want to see Prigozhin replace Putin as the leader of Russia.
What Happens Next?
The situation in Africa, where the Wagner Group had a strong presence, could change. It will depend on how African countries interpret Prigozhin's death. Ignatov suggests that Wagner personnel in Africa and the Middle East may join new private military companies or even the Russian Defense Ministry. However, this could pose a problem as it would be difficult for these companies to separate themselves from the Russian state.
Threats to Russian Authorities
Ignatov warns that the fighters who were loyal to Prigozhin and fought with him in Ukraine could pose a risk to the Russian authorities. They may seek revenge for his death, which could have consequences for many people.
The Plane Crash
The main theory surrounding the plane crash is that a bomb was installed on the plane. This was not an accident, as the plane was in Russia and used a Russian airport. Prigozhin had even taken a different plane to Moscow before boarding the ill-fated flight to Saint Petersburg. In conclusion, the death of Yevgeny Prigozhin has both positive and negative implications. While it benefits the West, it also poses a threat to Russian authorities. The situation in Africa may change, and there are concerns about potential revenge from loyal fighters. The plane crash itself is believed to be a deliberate act, possibly involving a bomb.
